Crypto Lover, If you are sad by seeing the recent price drop of Bitcoin, then relax because panic is spreading across the Social media and YouTube – The bull market is over and the beginning of bear market, people are saying this but is it really true. Let’s find it. With this today’s article, we will try to understand the technical analysis, market sentiments and institutional buying data to understand that why the bull market is still alive and why Q4 2025 (October–December) could bring a historic rally to Bitcoin and crypto. 🤔
📊 The Truth of Bitcoin Charts: Bullish Signals Alive!
Bitcoin’s chart still giving a signal of hope for investors. If we look at the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI), now it is currently touching the oversold zone – exactly just like it did in early 2025, when the market went to massive recovery mode after a sudden crash. This is a important technical signal when the RSI become oversold. When there is a extreme fear in the market and people do panic sell then this oversold is created. The historic data show that market bottoms often form at this stage and the new bull run often begins from here. Meaning there mat be some more downside but the overall trends is indicating towards the bullish setup.
There is a one more powerful indicator which is 200-day Moving Average (MA). Bitcoin still trading above the MA and this is a classic long-term bullish signal. If the price consistently above the 200-day MA then it’s means that the overall momentum of market is positive and the long-term trend is still stronger. And if we talk about the Fibonacci extensions, then this supports the bullish scenario. Fibonacci extensions historically identify that how big the market potential could be. In the previous bull run, the Bitcoin had touched the higher Fibonacci level when the market was in its final euphoric rally. And now that stage is far away, meaning bulk of rally potential remain.
In short, charts analysis clearly shows that the Bitcoin bull run is still alive. The RSI oversold zone, trading above the 200-day MA and remaining potential of Fibonacci extension – These all three indicators gives the combined signal that there is a short-term dips buying opportunities and the long term trends remains bullish.
😱 Fear & Greed Index: Sentiment are Resetting:
One of the most powerful psychological tool in the Crypto market is Fear & Greed Index. This is a simple indicator that shows the overall feeling of the investors – Whether people are in fear or in greedy mode.
- When the index in fear zone the the retail investor do sell in panic.
- But at this stage only, the smart money and institutions make accumulations.
- When the index reaches greed or extreme greed zone then the market forms its final euphoric top.
Now we are currently at the neutral stage of sentiment. Meaning panic mode is over but the crazy euphoria of people mortgaging their homes to but crypto hasn’t been arrived yet. This is a clear sign that the bull run is still far away from its peak value.
📈 Technical Indicators: MACD, Elliott Wave and More
Multiple technical indicators still showing the bullish pictures.
- MACD (Monthly Chart) – This is still in the bullish zone, which shows that the long-term trends is intact.
- Elliott Wave Analysis – This suggest that we are still in wave 2 correction and the major top of main bull cycle is yet to come.
- Bitcoin Dominance – Still we are not on those levels where the historically the bull market tops are forms.
- USDT (Tether) Dominance – Still giving the bullish signal, because the more the stable coin means the more potential liquid that can flow in Bitcoin and Altcoins in the future.
The most interesting things is – Pi Cycle Top Indicator and Coinbase app rankings are not yet giving any euphoric signals that occur at the top of every bull run that means the top is still far away.
🍂 Q4 Seasonality: The Magic of October to December
History always repeat itself and this things happens in crypto every times. Q4 months (October–December) is always remain profitable for the Bitcoin
- 2017 Q4 → Bitcoin had made its first all-time high. Bitcoin ne apna first all-time high banaya.
- 2020 Q4 → Bitcoin railled from $20,000 to cross $40,000.
- 2021 Q4 → Bitcoin had made a all-time high of $69,000.
Now in 2025, the same seasonality play is going on. After October, the liquidity inflow will increases in both usually global markets (stocks + crypto). This time the institutional accumulation and ETF adoption will make this even more stronger and powerful.
🏦 Institutions Confidence: ETF Buying & Big Moves
If you think that the bull run is over then just look at the data – institutions are still buying aggressively.
- BlackRock IBIT Bitcoin ETF has already hold over 760,000+ Bitcoins. This is just a ETF data! Meaning institutions openly making Bitcoin as a treasury assets.
- The company like BitMine is also accumulating the ETH. According to the recent data, they have almost buy purchased 233,877 ETH, which is an investment of approximately $935 million.
Retail investors are selling in panic, but on the other side, billion-dollars institutions are quietly accumulating it. Institutions never take decision on short-term noise. And when they are buying, it means clearly they are expecting a higher prices.
🌍 Crypto Friendly Countries: Adoption is Speeding Up
The crypto bull run is not just a story of charts and ETFs, its adoption is also growing rapidly.
According to the latest report:
- UAE → 25.3% population holds crypto (world no.1)
- Singapore → 24.4% adoption (world no.2)
- USA → 15.5% adoption (world no.3)
- India → Not on the top of the official list, but the adoption growth rate is faster here, especially among youths and in tier 2 cities.
This data of global adoption clearly shows that crypto is no longer remain a niche asset anymore – It is gradually become a part of mainstream finance.
💵 CBDC, Stablecoins And The Future of USD
Parallel to crypto, Central bank also strengthening their digital game stronger
- China has launched it own Digital Yuan operations center, which will push the CBDC adoption to the global level.
- US had regulated the stablecoin by passing the “Genius Act”. Now stablecoins like USDC and USDT can be used legally and safely in the global finance.
This will have the biggest impact on the US Dollar dominance. And due to the adoption of stablecoin, it will further strengthen the dollar’s position as a global reserve currency. That’s means Crypto is on the rise, But the USD is not losing its control.
✅ Conclusion: Stay Patience, The Bull Market is Still Ahead!
So friends, Each and Every data point only one thing – whether it’s RSI, MACD, Elliott Wave, ETF accumulation or global adoption show the same thing – The Bull run is not over still yet. Yes, In short-term there is one correction and that’s the healthy one. But after October, a major pump could be occur in Q4, which most probably takes the bull market to the next level. The golden rule of Crypto investing – is to be stay patience and avoid FOMO. Don’t get panic based on single data point. Institutions are buying, market is bullish and history is also on your favor, which is a golden opportunity. If you are a long-term investor, then these dips can be the best opportunity for the accumulation. Remember- bull market never moves in straight line but the ultimate destination will always be higher highs.